Perspectives from an English Historian who just happens to be Gay, Catholic, and a Democratic Socialist. Now back in the UK after 20 years of living in the United States. The Blog is eclectic in covering all these sides of my Life. Follow on Twitter at PaulBHalsall
Monday, October 09, 2006
Insider Knowledge
So it’s payback time. Internal Republican polls are now showing that this scandal could cost them up to 50 seats in next month’s election, as their base is so disgusted.
I don't think this scandal will have as much effect of the elections as is being made to look in the media. Polls do show that people are upset with Republicans. But those Republicans who are upset with their party will, I think, still vote for the Republican in their district because they will be thinking "I'm upset with the party, by my Congressman is still good."
I think that the same seats that were in contention before the scandal broke will still be the same ones in contention on election day. The ones that had a good lead before the scandal will still win on election day. But I could be wrong.
1 comment:
I don't think this scandal will have as much effect of the elections as is being made to look in the media. Polls do show that people are upset with Republicans. But those Republicans who are upset with their party will, I think, still vote for the Republican in their district because they will be thinking "I'm upset with the party, by my Congressman is still good."
I think that the same seats that were in contention before the scandal broke will still be the same ones in contention on election day. The ones that had a good lead before the scandal will still win on election day. But I could be wrong.
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